Ohridvs
Gorno Lisiče
COMPLETEDMacedonia · Second League · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ohrid · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ohrid 2-1 Gorno Lisiče
Original prediction
Ohrid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.5% | 53.2% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.85 | 18.8% | 25.2% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 8.47 | 10.7% | 21.6% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Ohrid
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Ohrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OhridLWWWW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gorno LisičeWLLLL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OhridGorno Lisiče
100.0Attack33.3
77.8Defence66.7
100.0Form25.0
92.0Power40.3
1.77xG0.83