GGOALVIO

Macedonia · Second League · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ohrid · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ohrid 1-0 FK Rabotnicki

Original prediction

Ohrid

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8249.7%45.9%-3.9 pts
Draw3.3327.2%26.1%-1.1 pts
Away3.9323.1%28.0%4.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Ohrid

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Ohrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OhridWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK RabotnickiWWWDW

GF 19 · GA 2 · avg 3.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OhridFK Rabotnicki
75.0Attack71.4
75.0Defence85.7
79.2Form85.7
76.2Power79.6
1.44xG1.08
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