O'Higginsvs
Union La Calera
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
O'Higgins · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
O'Higgins 2-1 Union La Calera
Original prediction
O'Higgins
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 52.2% | 49.4% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.1% | 25.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.7% | 25.1% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
O'Higgins
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
O'Higgins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00