GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 3/7/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

O'Higgins are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while U. Catolica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

10.0%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

O'HigginsWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
U. CatolicaWWLWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
O'HigginsU. Catolica
40.7Attack74.1
48.1Defence51.9
42.6Form55.6
46.6Power59.7
1.22xG2.18
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