Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
O'Higgins · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
O'Higgins 1-1 Cobresal
Original prediction
O'Higgins
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.8% | 48.3% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.7% | 24.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.99 | 18.6% | 27.7% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–07%
Predicted outcome
O'Higgins
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
O'Higgins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
O'HigginsLWWWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CobresalDWLWD
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
O'HigginsCobresal
38.9Attack45.8
47.2Defence33.3
37.5Form30.6
44.0Power38.7
1.70xG1.30