GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 4/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

O'Higgins · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

O'Higgins are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while A. Italiano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.6 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Primera División, while O'Higgins holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

O'Higgins

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

14.5%

O'Higgins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

O'HigginsDLWWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
A. ItalianoWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
O'HigginsA. Italiano
40.7Attack40.7
48.1Defence53.7
42.6Form37.0
46.6Power45.3
1.22xG1.15
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