OH Leuvenvs
Standard Liege
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Standard Liege · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
OH Leuven 1-2 Standard Liege
Original prediction
Standard Liege
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 35.6% | 30.0% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.8% | 25.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.6% | 44.1% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Standard Liege
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Standard Liege has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80