OH Leuvenvs
Lommel United
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 10/24/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lommel United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: OH Leuven 0-1 Lommel United, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
OH Leuven 2-2 Lommel United
Original prediction
Lommel United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 49.3% | 29.8% | -19.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 25.1% | 26.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.7% | 43.6% | 17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.9 pts
Projected Score
OH Leuven 0–1 Lommel United
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Lommel United
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Lommel United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00