OH Leuvenvs
Cercle Brugge
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/12/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cercle Brugge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
OH Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Original prediction
Cercle Brugge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.7% | 35.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.6% | 25.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 35.7% | 38.8% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Cercle Brugge
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Cercle Brugge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00