Ogre Unitedvs
Super Nova
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ogre United 1-0 Super Nova
Original prediction
Super Nova
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 29.9% | 23.1% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.7% | 24.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.4% | 52.8% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40