Ogre Unitedvs
Rīgas FS
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Ogre United 0-4 Rīgas FS, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ogre United 0-3 Rīgas FS
Original prediction
Rīgas FS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 16.75 | 5.5% | 2.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 8.71 | 10.5% | 6.3% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.09 | 84.0% | 91.2% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Projected Score
Ogre United 0–4 Rīgas FS
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
91.2%
Model confidence
91.2%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ogre UnitedLLLDL
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Rīgas FSDWLWL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ogre UnitedRīgas FS
33.3Attack83.3
12.8Defence74.4
17.9Form84.6
24.9Power79.8
0.51xG4.30