GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 5/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Ogre United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 56.3-point power-rating edge (24.9 v 81.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.3% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

92.3%

Model confidence

92.3%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ogre UnitedLLDDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rīgas FSDWWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ogre UnitedRīgas FS
32.0Attack82.7
13.3Defence77.3
18.7Form86.7
24.9Power81.2
0.49xG4.30
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