VirsligaVirsliga
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Ogre United

Ogre United

Home
W
04
Full time
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Draw35%
Ogre United35%
BFC Daugavpils30%
Win probability
Ogre United
35%
Draw
35%
BFC Daugavpils
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ogre United
99
BFC Daugavpils
94
Defence
Ogre United
27
BFC Daugavpils
6
Momentum
Ogre United
100
BFC Daugavpils
33
Danger (xG)
Ogre United
3.60
BFC Daugavpils
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Ogre United)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (BFC Daugavpils)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Ogre United)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (BFC Daugavpils)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Ogre UnitedOgre United
WLWLL
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
DLDLL

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Ogre United35%
Draw35%
BFC Daugavpils30%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Ogre United head into this in Virsliga fixture in mixed form (W), while BFC Daugavpils arrive in mixed form (D). Ogre United have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for BFC Daugavpils over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Ogre United (99/100) and BFC Daugavpils (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Ogre United have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. BFC Daugavpils have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 36% confidence. Win probabilities: Ogre United 3454%, Draw 3500%, BFC Daugavpils 3047%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Ogre United

Ogre United

W
@ Valmiera / BSS
12 Jul 2026
42
L
@ FK Liepaja
30 Jun 2026
04
W
vs Tukums
26 Jun 2026
32
L
@ Rīgas FS
22 Jun 2026
06
L
@ Super Nova
16 May 2026
13
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

D
@ Riga Mariners
11 Jul 2026
33
L
@ Rīgas FS
30 Jun 2026
13
D
vs Riga
25 Jun 2026
00
L
@ FK Liepaja
17 May 2026
01
L
vs Rīgas FS
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more