Ogre Unitedvs
Auda
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (12%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ogre United 1-4 Auda
Original prediction
Auda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.36 | 16.9% | 21.2% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.3% | 23.9% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.8% | 54.8% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–312%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ogre UnitedLLWLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AudaLWDWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ogre UnitedAuda
33.3Attack53.5
18.2Defence65.7
18.2Form64.6
26.5Power62.1
0.67xG2.69