GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/18/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

OFK Vršac are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Semendrija 1924 are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Semendrija 1924 hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OFK VršacDWDWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Semendrija 1924DWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
OFK VršacSemendrija 1924
28.7Attack36.0
71.3Defence72.1
46.3Form50.5
51.1Power54.9
0.51xG0.57
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