GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

OFK Vršac · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

OFK Vršac 0-0 Metalac GM

Original prediction

OFK Vršac

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9347.1%40.5%-6.6 pts
Draw3.2727.8%30.0%2.2 pts
Away3.6225.1%29.5%4.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

OFK Vršac

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

OFK Vršac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OFK VršacLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Metalac GMWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OFK VršacMetalac GM
22.2Attack50.0
88.9Defence33.3
66.7Form50.0
62.6Power47.8
1.26xG0.92
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