GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/5/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

OFK Vršac are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kolubara are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and OFK Vršac hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OFK VršacDWDLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KolubaraDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OFK VršacKolubara
28.7Attack38.9
71.3Defence59.3
46.3Form39.8
51.1Power47.1
0.76xG0.60
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