GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 9/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

OFK Bor 1919 0-2 Metalac GM

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3738.6%36.0%-2.6 pts
Draw3.0529.9%30.4%0.4 pts
Away2.9031.5%33.7%2.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–011%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.4%

Model confidence

36.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OFK Bor 1919LLLWW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Metalac GMWWWDL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OFK Bor 1919Metalac GM
0.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power47.8
1.19xG1.15
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