Super Liga
OFK Beograd
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Radnik Surdulica
AwayThe model projects 1.12 xG for OFK Beograd and 1.53 xG for Radnik Surdulica — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.40), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.65 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesOFK BeogradRadnik SurdulicaProbability breakdown
OFK Beograd leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Radnik Surdulica Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2
OFK Beograd take on Radnik Surdulica in Super Liga.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Radnik Surdulica are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.53 projected against 1.12 for OFK Beograd. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.40 is the clearest signal in the model that Radnik Surdulica are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Radnik Surdulica are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.
Risk factors
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
- ⚠Radnik Surdulica have averaged under a goal per game recently — their attacking output away from home may not be enough.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
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OFK Beograd
Radnik Surdulica
Frequently asked questions
Who will win OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
GoalVio's model predicts Radnik Surdulica to win with 46% confidence.
What is the predicted score for OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.