OFK Beogradvs
Radnicki 1923
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Radnicki 1923 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
OFK Beograd 3-5 Radnicki 1923
Original prediction
Radnicki 1923
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.6% | 20.8% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 24.3% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.1% | 54.9% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Radnicki 1923
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Radnicki 1923 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40