OFK Beogradvs
Metalac GM
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 8/13/2023, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OFK Beograd · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
OFK Beograd are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Metalac GM are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and OFK Beograd hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (65.0 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the Prva Liga, while OFK Beograd holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OFK Beograd
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
OFK Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67