OFK Beogradvs
IMT Novi Beograd
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IMT Novi Beograd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
OFK Beograd 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd
Original prediction
IMT Novi Beograd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.2% | 28.0% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.1% | 26.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.6% | 45.6% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
IMT Novi Beograd
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
IMT Novi Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20