OFK Beogradvs
FK Crvena Zvezda
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Crvena Zvezda · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (14%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
OFK Beograd 0-1 FK Crvena Zvezda
Original prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.17 | 12.6% | 6.3% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.01 | 18.0% | 12.1% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 69.3% | 81.5% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–314%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
FK Crvena Zvezda
Probability
81.5%
Model confidence
81.5%
FK Crvena Zvezda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20