Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
OFI 2-1 PAOK
Original prediction
PAOK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.52 | 20.6% | 27.2% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 25.0% | 23.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 54.4% | 49.5% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OFILLLLD
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PAOKWLWWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OFIPAOK
52.4Attack71.4
47.6Defence57.1
47.6Form71.4
50.7Power66.7
1.38xG1.89