GGOALVIO

Greece · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

OFI · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

OFI 3-0 Nestos Chrisoupolis

Original prediction

OFI

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1281.8%49.2%-32.6 pts
Draw7.2812.6%24.6%11.9 pts
Away16.505.6%26.2%20.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-32.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–09%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

OFI

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

OFI has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OFIWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nestos ChrisoupolisDLWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 0/4
OFINestos Chrisoupolis
0.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power47.8
1.41xG1.21
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