Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OFI · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
OFI 2-0 Kifisia
Original prediction
OFI
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 43.7% | 41.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.3% | 28.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 27.0% | 29.7% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
OFI
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
OFI has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OFIDLWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KifisiaDDWDL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OFIKifisia
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form33.3
56.2Power45.3
1.47xG1.09