GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 8/20/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aris Thessalonikis · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

OFI are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aris Thessalonikis are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aris Thessalonikis hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Super League 1, while Aris Thessalonikis holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aris Thessalonikis

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Aris Thessalonikis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OFIDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Aris ThessalonikisLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
OFIAris Thessalonikis
36.4Attack47.2
49.5Defence59.3
35.4Form50.9
41.9Power53.7
0.92xG1.35
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