GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/17/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

OFI · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

OFI 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim

Original prediction

OFI

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home8.9910.6%43.0%32.5 pts
Draw5.5017.3%22.3%5.0 pts
Away1.3272.2%34.7%-37.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 7.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

32.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–010%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–110%

Predicted outcome

OFI

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

OFI has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OFIWWWDL

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
1899 HoffenheimWLLWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
OFI1899 Hoffenheim
83.3Attack45.8
100.0Defence41.7
100.0Form37.5
94.8Power43.9
2.27xG0.97
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