GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 7/14/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Oeste are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while XV de Piracicaba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Copa Paulista, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OesteWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
XV de PiracicabaDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OesteXV de Piracicaba
36.7Attack33.3
63.3Defence92.9
43.3Form69.0
50.1Power66.9
0.52xG0.71
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