Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Oţelul 0-0 Rapid, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Oţelul 0-1 Rapid
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 29.8% | 35.3% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.8% | 31.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 41.3% | 33.1% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Oţelul 0–0 Rapid
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.5%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OţelulDWLDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RapidWDWLD
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
OţelulRapid
42.9Attack28.6
61.9Defence81.0
47.6Form47.6
54.0Power54.7
0.87xG0.74