GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga I · 10/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oţelul · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Oţelul 1-0 Csikszereda, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Oţelul 1-1 Csikszereda

Original prediction

Oţelul

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6455.9%62.1%6.2 pts
Draw3.6625.1%23.0%-2.1 pts
Away4.8519.0%14.9%-4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.2 pts

Projected Score

Oţelul 1–0 Csikszereda

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Oţelul

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

62.1%

Oţelul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OţelulLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CsikszeredaLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OţelulCsikszereda
33.3Attack18.2
51.5Defence27.3
30.3Form3.0
41.2Power20.4
1.66xG0.63
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