GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga I · 9/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Oţelul 0-0 Corvinul Hunedoara, with an exact score probability of 26%.

Prediction record

Final result

Oţelul 2-3 Corvinul Hunedoara

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5036.6%30.2%-6.4 pts
Draw3.0030.5%33.4%2.9 pts
Away2.7832.9%36.4%3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.9 pts

Projected Score

Oţelul 0–0 Corvinul Hunedoara

Exact score probability: 26%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OţelulLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Corvinul HunedoaraLLWDD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
OţelulCorvinul Hunedoara
33.3Attack29.6
55.6Defence74.1
37.0Form37.0
44.7Power47.3
0.62xG0.77
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