Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Odranci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Odranci 5-3 Fužinar
Original prediction
Odranci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.0% | 42.6% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.7% | 25.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.3% | 32.4% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Odranci
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Odranci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OdranciWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 2.67/1.00
BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
FužinarWLWLL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OdranciFužinar
88.9Attack88.9
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form66.7
87.9Power71.4
1.96xG1.49