GGOALVIO

Poland · Cup · 9/26/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stal Mielec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Odra Opole are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Stal Mielec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Stal Mielec hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Cup, while Stal Mielec holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stal Mielec

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Stal Mielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Odra OpoleWDWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Stal MielecLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Odra OpoleStal Mielec
33.3Attack77.8
33.3Defence44.4
0.0Form66.7
23.7Power64.7
1.49xG1.95
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