Odra Opolevs
Pogoń Siedlce
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Odra Opole 0-0 Pogoń Siedlce, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Odra Opole 0-1 Pogoń Siedlce
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.0% | 36.5% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.1% | 31.8% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.8% | 31.8% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
Odra Opole 0–0 Pogoń Siedlce
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Odra OpoleLWWLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Pogoń SiedlceLLLWD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Odra OpolePogoń Siedlce
24.2Attack39.4
63.6Defence54.5
36.4Form36.4
43.8Power45.8
0.77xG0.79