Odra Bytom Odrzańskivs
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Odra Bytom Odrzański 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Odra Bytom Odrzański 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.5% | 36.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.7% | 30.9% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.8% | 32.8% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Odra Bytom Odrzański 0–0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60