Odra Bytom Odrzańskivs
Stal Brzeg
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Odra Bytom Odrzański · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Odra Bytom Odrzański 1-0 Stal Brzeg, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Odra Bytom Odrzański 3-2 Stal Brzeg
Original prediction
Odra Bytom Odrzański
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.4% | 46.6% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 27.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 22.0% | 25.6% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Projected Score
Odra Bytom Odrzański 1–0 Stal Brzeg
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Odra Bytom Odrzański
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Odra Bytom Odrzański has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20