Oddevoldvs
IFK Varnamo
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oddevold · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oddevold 1-2 IFK Varnamo
Original prediction
Oddevold
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.6% | 58.2% | 15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.9% | 21.1% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.5% | 20.7% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Oddevold
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Oddevold has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40