Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Odd II 3-1 Viking II
Original prediction
Viking II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.2% | 32.0% | -21.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.58 | 19.8% | 21.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.1% | 46.1% | 19.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Viking II
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Viking II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Odd IILDWWL
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Viking IILDWWL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Odd IIViking II
26.7Attack77.8
20.0Defence55.6
26.7Form44.4
28.2Power56.8
1.51xG2.73