Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Odd II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Odd II 1-1 Stabæk II
Original prediction
Odd II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.2% | 39.4% | -16.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 19.7% | 24.4% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.1% | 36.2% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Odd II
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Odd II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Odd IIWWLWL
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Stabæk IIWLWLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Odd IIStabæk II
33.3Attack50.0
22.2Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
33.1Power50.0
1.92xG2.27