GGOALVIO

Norway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Haugesund II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Odd II 7-0 Haugesund II

Original prediction

Haugesund II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7551.5%36.6%-14.9 pts
Draw4.1421.7%24.7%3.0 pts
Away3.3626.8%38.7%11.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–28%
  2. 2.2–27%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Haugesund II

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Haugesund II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Odd IILWLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Haugesund IILWWDD

GF 14 · GA 15 · avg 2.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Odd IIHaugesund II
16.7Attack50.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
11.2Power50.0
1.89xG2.52
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