GGOALVIO

Norway · 1. Division · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stromsgodset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

ODD Ballklubb 1-1 Stromsgodset

Original prediction

Stromsgodset

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.1529.1%31.1%2.0 pts
Draw4.0022.9%22.6%-0.4 pts
Away1.9148.0%46.4%-1.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–27%
  2. 2.1–27%
  3. 3.2–36%

Predicted outcome

Stromsgodset

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Stromsgodset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ODD BallklubbWLLDW

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
StromsgodsetWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ODD BallklubbStromsgodset
66.7Attack88.3
46.7Defence51.7
53.3Form68.3
55.9Power68.5
2.03xG2.64
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