GGOALVIO

Norway · NM Cupen · 10/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ODD Ballklubb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

ODD Ballklubb 3-1 Sandefjord

Original prediction

ODD Ballklubb

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4038.0%40.1%2.2 pts
Draw3.4926.1%24.7%-1.4 pts
Away2.5435.9%35.2%-0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–27%
  2. 2.2–17%
  3. 3.1–16%

Predicted outcome

ODD Ballklubb

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

ODD Ballklubb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ODD BallklubbLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SandefjordLLDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ODD BallklubbSandefjord
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
82.7Power90.0
2.41xG2.12
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