GGOALVIO

Norway · 1. Division · 8/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

ODD Ballklubb 0-1 Kongsvinger

Original prediction

Kongsvinger

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5835.6%34.0%-1.7 pts
Draw3.9323.4%19.1%-4.3 pts
Away2.2540.9%46.9%5.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–27%
  2. 2.1–27%
  3. 3.2–36%

Predicted outcome

Kongsvinger

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ODD BallklubbLDWDL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KongsvingerWWLWW

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ODD BallklubbKongsvinger
64.8Attack88.9
48.1Defence48.1
53.7Form72.2
55.8Power69.3
2.11xG2.57
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