GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 4/29/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monaro Panthers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

O'Connor Knights are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Monaro Panthers are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Monaro Panthers hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.3% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Monaro Panthers holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monaro Panthers

Probability

79.3%

Model confidence

79.3%

Monaro Panthers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

O'Connor KnightsWLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Monaro PanthersWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
O'Connor KnightsMonaro Panthers
42.1Attack100.0
33.3Defence54.4
35.1Form75.4
39.4Power72.9
1.18xG3.96
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