GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 7/28/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Obolon'-Brovar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kolos Kovalivka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kolos Kovalivka hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Obolon'-BrovarDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kolos KovalivkaDLLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Obolon'-BrovarKolos Kovalivka
20.8Attack24.4
56.3Defence65.6
31.3Form35.6
39.2Power43.6
0.53xG0.59
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