GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 8/4/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dynamo Kyiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Obolon'-Brovar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dynamo Kyiv are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dynamo Kyiv hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 74.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Premier League, while Dynamo Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dynamo Kyiv

Probability

70.3%

Model confidence

70.3%

Dynamo Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Obolon'-BrovarDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dynamo KyivWWWWD

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Obolon'-BrovarDynamo Kyiv
20.8Attack80.0
56.3Defence68.9
31.3Form76.7
39.2Power74.8
0.44xG1.95
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