Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oberwart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oberwart 3-1 SV Horn
Original prediction
Oberwart
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.9% | 49.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.4% | 24.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.7% | 25.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Oberwart
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Oberwart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OberwartWWLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SV HornLWLLW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OberwartSV Horn
66.7Attack48.1
55.6Defence55.6
66.7Form40.7
63.6Power49.2
2.00xG1.15