Oberwartvs
Favoritner AC
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 10/23/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oberwart · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oberwart 3-0 Favoritner AC
Original prediction
Oberwart
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.3% | 55.8% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 20.7% | 24.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 5.30 | 17.0% | 20.1% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Oberwart
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Oberwart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40