Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oberwart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oberwart 0-2 Donau
Original prediction
Oberwart
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.0% | 71.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.17 | 14.7% | 16.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 9.77 | 9.3% | 12.5% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Oberwart
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Oberwart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OberwartWWWLW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DonauDDLLD
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
OberwartDonau
86.7Attack33.3
60.0Defence13.3
80.0Form20.0
75.7Power25.5
3.37xG0.92